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Good morning. Stocks slipped Monday as the 10-year Treasury yield set a new 2026 high, and today brings two 10:00 AM reports on consumers and job openings, one day before the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge and Micron’s earnings.
The Market Gauge
Stocks closed near their lows Monday. The S&P 500 fell 0.77% to 7,683.69, the Nasdaq composite lost 0.92% to 26,820.38, and the Dow dropped 347.11 points, or 0.67%, to 51,481.51. Over the weekend President Trump said he rejected Iran’s proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.23%, a fresh high for 2026. Boeing led the Dow lower with a 6.9% drop after disclosing a 737 Max software glitch, while Nvidia gained 1.7% after adding $150 billion to its stock buyback plan.
Growth stocks took the hardest hit. The CapForce IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) fell 1.9% and is now flat for the year. Still, IBD noted that the S&P 500 found support at its 21-day exponential moving average and the Nasdaq stayed above its short-term moving averages. IBD continues to recommend 80% to 100% exposure, so its read is a pullback inside an uptrend, not a broken market.
Beginner note: A moving average is the average closing price over a set number of days, drawn as a line on the chart. When an index falls to its 21-day line and holds there, traders call that “support.” The first test of a key line matters less than what happens on the second or third test, so watch whether the S&P 500 keeps holding it this week.
On today’s calendar
CarMax earnings (before the open, call 8:00 AM ET): The largest used-car retailer reports quarterly results. Used-car sales depend on car loans, so this report is a read on how higher interest rates are affecting everyday buyers.
Consumer Confidence (10:00 AM ET): A monthly survey of how Americans feel about their jobs, income and the economy. Consumer spending drives about two-thirds of the U.S. economy, so a sharp drop in confidence can hint at slower spending ahead.
JOLTS job openings (10:00 AM ET): Counts how many jobs employers are trying to fill. Fewer openings usually means the job market is cooling, which can ease pressure on wages and inflation.
Later this week: Wednesday brings the ADP jobs report (8:15 AM ET), the third estimate of second-quarter GDP and the PCE inflation data (both 8:30 AM ET), then Micron’s earnings after the close.
On the radar: NetApp
$NTAP ( ▲ 2.33% ) NetApp sells data storage systems and cloud data services, the equipment and software companies use to store and manage the huge amounts of data that AI applications need. On a day when most growth stocks fell, NetApp rose 1.62% to close at 204.41, and IBD added it to its Leaderboard list of top stocks. IBD says shares cleared an early buy point at 200.84 and are working up the right side of a cup base with a 209.06 buy point, which is also the stock’s 52-week high, about 2.3% above Monday’s close. The business is growing fast: earnings rose 66% to $2.58 a share last quarter on 30% revenue growth to $2.03 billion, and the stock carries IBD’s best possible Composite Rating of 99.
Why it’s worth watching: This is a lesson in relative strength. The IBD 50 ETF fell 1.9% Monday, yet NetApp went up. Stocks that rise while the market falls often become the leaders when the market turns higher, because big investors keep buying them even on bad days. It is also a lesson in patience: the 209.06 buy point has not been cleared yet, and a breakout past it on heavy volume is the signal many growth investors wait for.
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ONE FOR THE ROAD
When the market has a red day, do you check which of your stocks held up best, and what would that tell you?
Educational content only. Not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results. Read the full financial disclosure.
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